05/29/2008
Germany - Husum WindEnergy 2008 and the German Wind Energy Institute (DEWI) present WindEnergy Study 2008
The international wind energy industry takes a very positive view of further development of the worldwide wind energy market in the coming years. Thus the world market volume of annual new installations is expected to be multiplied by five within ten years, from about 20 000 MW in 2007 to about 107 000 MW in 2017. The results of the fourth WindEnergy Study were presented in Berlin today – they were commissioned by Husum WindEnergy 2008 with the German Wind Energy Institute (DEWI) in the run-up to the industry's leading international fair. As the survey of companies active in this international industry showed, there could be a total of some 718,000 installed wind power worldwide by the end of 2017 (compared with about 94 000 MW at the end of 2007).
“This survey gives the companies in the industry a vital preview of the markets of the future. Its results are also reflected in the structure of the leading international trade fair of the wind energy industry, Husum WindEnergy, with exhibitors from 35 countries, including national pavilions from the USA, Canada, France and the UK, and with visitors from 40 countries, that is from the growth markets,” says Hanno Fecke, Managing Director of the Husum Trade Fair. “The WindEnergy-Study has provided a continuous set of data over the years, giving the industry an outstanding overview and a valuable forecast of the development of the global wind energy market,” says Bernd Aufderheide, Chairman of the Management Board of Hamburg Messe und Congress, which is the cooperation partner of Husum Trade Fair.
The data for Germany are applicable for the time of the survey, that is before the amendment of the Renewable Energies Act and thus before the decision on new conditions. They show possible total installation of 31 800 MW by 2012, of which 28 000 MW is onshore and about 3 800 MW offshore. The figure for 2017 is a total of 44 000 MW installed power, of which 32 500 MW onshore and 11 500 MW in the North Sea and Baltic Sea. That means about 13% more installed power onshore than was forecast in the 2006 Study. A scenario shown at the same time in the WindEnergy Study of the German wind market up to 2030 also gives a very much more positive view than two years ago. It indicates that there could be a total of as much as 65 000 MW on stream in 2030 (onshore and offshore), meeting about 31% of gross German power demand. That would mean some 35 100 MW installed onshore (i.e. about 7 200 MW more than was forecast in 2006) and some 30 000 MW offshore.
“The WindEnergy Study 2008 forecasts strong continuous growth for the global wind industry,” says Thorsten Herdan, Managing Director of the Manufacturers’ Association VDMA Power Systems. “For 2017 we are talking about a total sales volume of well over 100 billion euros. To realise this optimistic forecast, German manufacturers and equipment suppliers, who account for more than one third of total sales volume in the wind industry, would have to make another massive increase in their production capacities for turbines and components. A continuous home market for onshore and offshore wind energy, and sufficient skilled manpower, is essential to bring these enormous investments to Germany.” Hermann Albers, President of the Federal Wind Energy Association (BWE), sees Germany as the clear winner in the global wind energy boom, and notes that “the German export quota of some 80% of manufactured components and turbines is safeguarding and creating more and more jobs –more than 80 000 of them already today.”
The companies surveyed suppose steady development in the European market in the next five years. They are expecting some 129 000 MW installed power by 2012, as compared with 57 136 MW at the end of 2007. Global installed power is expected to reach 288 000 MW by 2012 (versus 94 000 MW at the end of 2007). The study predicts that by 2012 more than half the installed wind turbine power will be outside of Europe, as compared to only 39% in 2007. That shows how fast the non-European markets are catching up with Europe in use of wind energy, and just how much potential this market holds.
The focus of worldwide growth last year was in the USA, China, Spain, Germany and India, with some 78% of new installations. The respondents feel that the USA, China and Spain have great growth potential into the future, and there are also other countries that are becoming important to them, such as Greece and South Korea. The extension of tax benefits for wind energy adopted by the US Senate (PTC) by the end of 2009 (the decision by Congress is still pending) will most likely enable the US wind industry to continue breaking records in the next two years. The majority of companies surveyed feel that the US market will survive even without extension of PTC, as various states are funding wind energy.
“The WindEnergy Study provides impressive proof of the sustained upswing for wind energy worldwide” says Steve Sawyer of the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC). “The market growth shown in the study, that is some 20% per annum worldwide up to 2017, is a great opportunity for the industry, the labour markets, and for climate protection.”
In China a total of 44 manufacturers installed new turbines with total capacity of 3 499 MW in 2007. Nearly two thirds (62%) of respondents feel that this development gives them good chances of participating in the Chinese market. As many as 19% of the companies participating in the survey see opportunities for themselves to develop wind farm projects in China – mostly in the framework of joint ventures. Respondents feel that the competitors growing up rapidly in China will be competing in the world market from 2010 onwards.
HUSUM WindEnergy 2008 – the leading international wind industry fair – has for the first time been organised as a cooperation venture between the Husum Trade Fair and the Hamburg Trade Fair. From 9 to 13 September, some 700 exhibitors from 35 countries will present their products and services at the Husum trade fair site, including the world’s leading wind turbine manufacturers and their equipment suppliers. This fair is dedicated to the wind industry, and will be the international meeting point and forum for companies and trade visitors for five days. Further information is available at the website www.husumwindenergy.com
“This survey gives the companies in the industry a vital preview of the markets of the future. Its results are also reflected in the structure of the leading international trade fair of the wind energy industry, Husum WindEnergy, with exhibitors from 35 countries, including national pavilions from the USA, Canada, France and the UK, and with visitors from 40 countries, that is from the growth markets,” says Hanno Fecke, Managing Director of the Husum Trade Fair. “The WindEnergy-Study has provided a continuous set of data over the years, giving the industry an outstanding overview and a valuable forecast of the development of the global wind energy market,” says Bernd Aufderheide, Chairman of the Management Board of Hamburg Messe und Congress, which is the cooperation partner of Husum Trade Fair.
The data for Germany are applicable for the time of the survey, that is before the amendment of the Renewable Energies Act and thus before the decision on new conditions. They show possible total installation of 31 800 MW by 2012, of which 28 000 MW is onshore and about 3 800 MW offshore. The figure for 2017 is a total of 44 000 MW installed power, of which 32 500 MW onshore and 11 500 MW in the North Sea and Baltic Sea. That means about 13% more installed power onshore than was forecast in the 2006 Study. A scenario shown at the same time in the WindEnergy Study of the German wind market up to 2030 also gives a very much more positive view than two years ago. It indicates that there could be a total of as much as 65 000 MW on stream in 2030 (onshore and offshore), meeting about 31% of gross German power demand. That would mean some 35 100 MW installed onshore (i.e. about 7 200 MW more than was forecast in 2006) and some 30 000 MW offshore.
“The WindEnergy Study 2008 forecasts strong continuous growth for the global wind industry,” says Thorsten Herdan, Managing Director of the Manufacturers’ Association VDMA Power Systems. “For 2017 we are talking about a total sales volume of well over 100 billion euros. To realise this optimistic forecast, German manufacturers and equipment suppliers, who account for more than one third of total sales volume in the wind industry, would have to make another massive increase in their production capacities for turbines and components. A continuous home market for onshore and offshore wind energy, and sufficient skilled manpower, is essential to bring these enormous investments to Germany.” Hermann Albers, President of the Federal Wind Energy Association (BWE), sees Germany as the clear winner in the global wind energy boom, and notes that “the German export quota of some 80% of manufactured components and turbines is safeguarding and creating more and more jobs –more than 80 000 of them already today.”
The companies surveyed suppose steady development in the European market in the next five years. They are expecting some 129 000 MW installed power by 2012, as compared with 57 136 MW at the end of 2007. Global installed power is expected to reach 288 000 MW by 2012 (versus 94 000 MW at the end of 2007). The study predicts that by 2012 more than half the installed wind turbine power will be outside of Europe, as compared to only 39% in 2007. That shows how fast the non-European markets are catching up with Europe in use of wind energy, and just how much potential this market holds.
The focus of worldwide growth last year was in the USA, China, Spain, Germany and India, with some 78% of new installations. The respondents feel that the USA, China and Spain have great growth potential into the future, and there are also other countries that are becoming important to them, such as Greece and South Korea. The extension of tax benefits for wind energy adopted by the US Senate (PTC) by the end of 2009 (the decision by Congress is still pending) will most likely enable the US wind industry to continue breaking records in the next two years. The majority of companies surveyed feel that the US market will survive even without extension of PTC, as various states are funding wind energy.
“The WindEnergy Study provides impressive proof of the sustained upswing for wind energy worldwide” says Steve Sawyer of the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC). “The market growth shown in the study, that is some 20% per annum worldwide up to 2017, is a great opportunity for the industry, the labour markets, and for climate protection.”
In China a total of 44 manufacturers installed new turbines with total capacity of 3 499 MW in 2007. Nearly two thirds (62%) of respondents feel that this development gives them good chances of participating in the Chinese market. As many as 19% of the companies participating in the survey see opportunities for themselves to develop wind farm projects in China – mostly in the framework of joint ventures. Respondents feel that the competitors growing up rapidly in China will be competing in the world market from 2010 onwards.
HUSUM WindEnergy 2008 – the leading international wind industry fair – has for the first time been organised as a cooperation venture between the Husum Trade Fair and the Hamburg Trade Fair. From 9 to 13 September, some 700 exhibitors from 35 countries will present their products and services at the Husum trade fair site, including the world’s leading wind turbine manufacturers and their equipment suppliers. This fair is dedicated to the wind industry, and will be the international meeting point and forum for companies and trade visitors for five days. Further information is available at the website www.husumwindenergy.com
- Source:
- Husum WindEnergy 2008
- Author:
- Edited by Trevor Sievert, Online Editorial Journalist / Gudrun Blickle
- Email:
- gudrun.blickle@hamburg-messe.de
- Link:
- www.husumwindenergy.com/...
- Keywords:
- wind energy, wind farm, renewable energy, wind power, wind turbine, rotorblade, offshore, onshore
